Housing Bust Shakes Up Rentals

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In most housing downturns, rental markets thrive. This time, a glut of properties has put the brakes on rent hikes in many cities.

For many Americans, as property values sink and mortgage interest payments rise, the dream of homeownership has turned into a nightmare. In the past, however, one group of people who have tended to ride out real estate downturns are landlords, who can raise rents while potential buyers sit on the sidelines waiting for conditions to settle. But not this year. Rent growth in 2007 actually went flat in some metro areas hardest hit by the housing meltdown.

"What we will see is more of a return to where we were before the huge boom in homeownership," says Rob Massey, vice-president of industry development for Rentals.com. "In cases where you don't see the rental market rebounding, it's because of an oversupply of properties."

Saturated Metro Markets

It's no surprise that rents are rocketing up in healthy urban job centers with limited room for new apartment construction such as San Francisco, San Jose, New York City, Seattle, and the District of Columbia. But other metro areas with slow job growth such as Denver, Boston, Dayton, Memphis, and Detroit experienced a continuing trend of weak rental growth, according to a ranking of effective rent increases in 2007 for large metro areas compiled for BusinessWeek.com by Manhattan-based real estate research firm Reis (REIS).

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